Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Making wealth creation easy, accessible and transparent. A yield curve sheds light on what many people view as the economy's ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - A crucial part of the U.S. yield curve has inverted, bringing with it a robust warning of a coming U.S. recession (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) U.S. government 3-month ...

A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...

The bond market is trying to tell us something: The yield curve keeps inverting, flashing a warning sign that a recession could be coming. The 10-year US Treasury yield briefly fell below the 2-year ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...

Yield curves plot bond yields against their maturities, helping predict economic trends. Inverted yield curves suggest potential economic downturns, impacting investment choices. Understanding yield ...

A yield curve reflects the current yields for debt obligations of various terms. An invested yield curve is viewed as an important economic indicator and a possible precursor to a recession. Learn ...

A version of this article was originally published on Oct. 8, 2014. The term "interest rate" continues to strike fear into the hearts of bond investors. These fears have only intensified as the timing ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...