80% chance of Nankai Trough megaquake within 30 years

The probability of a magnitude-8 or -9 megaquake occurring in the Nankai Trough within the next 30 years has risen to “around ...

Updated Nankai Trough quake estimates fuel uncertainty

The government’s latest probability figures for a long-expected Nankai Trough megaquake show that even Japan’s best ...
The Hill

Goldman Sachs hikes recession probability to 45 percent

Goldman Sachs analysts are again raising the odds of a recession as markets continue to reel in the wake of President Trump’s sweeping tariff actions. The bank warned in a new report on Sunday that it ...
Reuters

Betting odds indicate 79 percent probability of a British vote to stay in the EU

LONDON (Reuters) - Betting odds on Friday indicated a 79 percent implied probability of Britain voting to stay in the European Union in a June 23 referendum, according to Betfair. The implied ...
Scientific American

Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...