Yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slid below those on two-year notes on Wednesday, delivering a reliable recession signal and sending shudders through global financial markets. Other sections of ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

A data-driven briefing outlines the key indicators economists track to gauge a potential slowdown and why timing signals remain murky. It explains how an inverted yield curve and widening corporate ...

CNN — On Sunday, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro brushed off concerns of an impending recession. Navarro, known for his outside-the-mainstream positions on economic policy, told CNN's Jake ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

As investors brace for another interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve, many are closely watching signals about the future of the economy. Stream NBC 5 for free, 24/7, wherever you are. WATCH HERE ...

The yield curve shows the relationship between yields and time to maturity for comparable debt securities. In practice, the term usually refers to securities issued within a single market segment so ...

The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of being in this range is only 0.02% higher than the probability of being in the 0% ...

The most likely range for 3-month bill yields falls to the 1% to 2% range within 30 months, according to this week’s simulation. The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years is also the 1 ...