The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck David Spiegelhalter Pelican (2024) As I sat down to read David Spiegelhalter’s The Art of Uncertainty, much of the world’s ...

The predictive value of childhood screenings for autism and other conditions depends on how common the condition is, a limit that parents need to understand As we strive to keep our kids safe, healthy ...

Can you predict whether a passenger would have survived the sinking of the Titanic based on factors like gender and income? How do you know if a mushroom is poisonous or safe to eat? What separates a ...

Much has been made of the power of habit. We’re encouraged to make healthy choices our default and to understand the way that the brain sets certain tasks, such as our morning commute, on autopilot to ...