A trough, in economic terms, can refer to a stage in the business cycle where activity is bottoming, or where prices are bottoming, before a rise.

To our surprise, the US economy has not entered a recession over the past two years. This is not because a recession has been avoided altogether but because the current economic cycle has been ...

What are economic cycles? Why is it important to understand economic cycles? What are the main causes of economic cycles? What are the key indicators of economic cycles? How can you predict a ...

In the past five years, India has seen distinct business cycles — a -5.8 per cent GDP contraction in FY21, a strong 9.2 per cent rebound in FY22–FY23, and a moderation to about 6.5 per cent in FY25.

In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) ...